StrategicTrendTiming

Building wealth...
by way of patient discipline

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Introduction

5th JUNE 2009

We at Strategic Trend Timing provide trading signals for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and NASDAQ-100. We provide signals to our members for two plans: a Retirement Savings Plan and an Aggressive Trading Plan.  We have been working on our Trend Timing models since 1976 and have high confidence in both of our systems.  Our Retirement Savings Plan achieves return that dwarf the results of Buy and Hold investing and that grow even during a bear market. Please look at our historical performance and verify our claims. We also have an Aggressive Trading Plan which we have just finished testing and for which we are offering Charter Memberships. We have excellent Trend Timing systems that we invite you to try out

Reminder

23rd JUNE 2009

Everyone, please remember to add strategictrendtiming@gmail.com to your Email program's address book so that none of our emails go to your Spam folder. This will ensure that you will not miss a signal. If you are having problems receiving our emails, please sign up for our calling plan, which will guarantee that you receive a phone call every time there is a signal change.

Aggressive Trading Plan

23rd JUNE 2009

Turn Key Plan

 

Performance of Turn Key Plan from Jan 2 through May 29, 2009

Month

TKP-5

TKP-2

TKP-1

January

$10,387.50

$1,450.50

$687.50

February

$3,312.50

$2,600.00

$1,450.00

March

$5,000.00

$2,250.00

$2,750.00

April

$11,574.50

$3,500.00

$2,950.00

May

$5,062.50

$3,750.50

$2,212.00

Total

$25,637.00

$9,051.00

$4,550.00

Returns*

51.3%

45.3%

45.5%

*Return on Account Balance of $10,000 per contract (i.e. TKP-5 has balance of $50,000, so $25,637.00 is a 51.3% return)

Retirement Savings Plan

5th JUNE 2009

Introduction

 
  • Our system can be used with leveraged or unleveraged investments.
  • We provide three plans: Long/Short, Long/Cash and Short/Cash.
  • Over the past five years, the Long/Short Leveraged Plan using the NASDAQ-100 has produced a total return of 682%, compared with returns of 1.7% using an unleveraged Buy and Hold Strategy.

Performance

Retirement Savings Plan

Performance of the NASDAQ-100 Index This Year

Strategy

Unleveraged Funds

200% Leveraged Funds

Buy and Hold

23.2%

46.5%

Long/Short

19.2%

37.7%

Long/Cash

29.2%

57.4%

Short/Cash

-6.2%

-12%

Current Position

 

We are currently in a LONG position.

Strategy

Position

Long/Short

100% Long

Long/Cash

100% Long

Short/Cash

100% Cash

Information on this page may be delayed up to 4 weeks. However, our subscribers will always receive timely signal changes and weekly reports.

How it Works

The retirement savings plan generates signals based on the NASDAQ-100. At the end of each trading day, our system evaluates the market and determines if there is a change in our position. If a signal change occurs, then we email and call our subscribers to buy or sell prior to the next day's market close.

We have found that we achieve the best long term results when we use one or more of the following products.

 
QQQQ
An ETF that correlates with the NASDAQ-100
  ONEQ An ETF that correlates with the NASDAQ-Composite
 
QLD
A Profunds leveraged ETF - Long
 
QID
A Profunds leveraged ETF - Short
 
Profunds
NASDAQ-100 tracking mutual fund
 
Rydex
NASDAQ-100 tracking mutual fund
 
Direxion
NASDAQ-100 tracking mutual fund
 
NQ
The NASDAQ-100 E-mini future contract

Weekly Report

5th JUNE 2009

The STT system remains in a (Buy – Long) state closing out the current week. What’s new, huh?   The Nasdaq-100 index has climbed and topped out so far at 43.0% from its low point on March 09.  It gained 4.0% from last week.  In this same time period the S&P-400 index has gained 47.3%, and it gained 3.6% from last week.  The Russell-2000 index has gained a whopping 54.5%, and it gained 5.7% from last week.  The latter two indexes have outpaced the Nasdaq-100 in this rally, and they may drop faster as well whenever this market does decide to turn around. 

It should be obvious by now that the Russell-2000 index is on fire this so far this year.  But don’t be hasty.  History has always favored the Nasdaq-100.  It is loaded with technology stocks, and technology does drive our future.  But for now, small cap stocks RULE,  so you could not be faulted by diversifying a bit of your longs into that index.

Is this a BEAR market rally, or is this a new BULL market which will take us again to a larger and more precarious bubble??  I don’t know, and frankly I don’t care.  I designed STT many years ago to ride trends (be they up or down).  Ride them until they get discredited.  The only certainty in this business is that any trend will eventually be discredited.  It is in our human nature, as part of the crowd, to do everything to the extreme.  The stock market is nothing more than a “monkey see…monkey do” syndrome.  And the Head Monkeys in Charge reside in Washington D.C.  (definitely, no racial pun is intended).  That’s why STT will follow the crowd only to the edge of disaster, but no further.  Trend Timing truly ROCKS!!

Never forget that for a trend to become discredited it must reverse itself.  Unfortunately, this always means that we must give up some of the apparent gains we have seen in our accounts.  How much we have to give up is always dependent on the passion of those who actually produce the end.  High passion, of course, increases the velocity of the change.  It is never the same from one cycle to another.

In the leading paragraph I have shown the gains from the absolute low on March 9, this year.  Our system did not get in long until March 16 which was after the market had climbed almost 10% already.  Heck, if I could call the absolute tops and bottoms consistently I would already have all the money in the world.  Bill Gates and Warren Buffet would be my house boys.  Heh, wouldn’t that be a trip?..

Until next week

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